Okay let's begin here Arizona has looked awful, but lets keep in mind this team just beat Washington by 17 and are #89 in the RPI's. How are they so high? Well they have faced an opponent this season with a .670 win%. While Oregon State ranked #217 has faced an opponent .469 opponent win%. A huge difference in strength of schedule. Arizona has won 8 straight meetings yet they find themselves as under dogs here tonight against Oregon State a team that lost at home to first year Division 1 team Seattle. It was a 51 point loss and their worst at home ever, but again to a first year Division 1 team. Oregon STate bounced back with a big rivalry win over Oregon as the players responded to their coach. So both teams come off big conference wins and we will see which team responds.
In my opinion it will be Arizona getting the job done here as they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 in Pac-10 games, including 3-0 ATS this year as an under dog in Pac-10 play this year. Zona will have a rebound advantage in this game in my opinion. They are +2 in rebound margin in conference play while Oregon State has a -3 rebound margin.
Arizona is coming off a win and going over. Teams are 21-8-1 ATS with a 3.7 margin of victory when coming off that situation playing as an away as pk-2.5 points. Arizona is also in a situation this season that is 16-6 ATS when a team is coming off a win at home now playing a conference team as an away dog pk-2.5. Teams in that situation like the Wildcats tonight are 16-6-1 ATS +2.4 point margin of victory.
Oregon State comes in with some bad trends on the other side of things. Oregon State after win now playing a conference opponent as a home favorite pk-2.5 are 7-19-1 ATS this season.
